That people do not always act rationally is a truism. In the opinion of many people, it is reinforced by the number of people who regularly play the lottery. After all, the probability of hitting the jackpot is vanishingly small and there is no way for players 안전놀이터 to change this, as an article in Focus points out.
Lotteries, however, are considered an extreme case. But what about other forms of gambling, such as blackjack or roulette? Here, opinions differ on the extent to which it is possible to specifically influence one’s own luck through rational actions. Regular gamblers like to use certain strategies, but how useful they are is disputed. Here we would like to take a closer look at a few of them.
Counting cards in blackjack
In contrast to other games of chance, Black Jack is considered to be relatively promising. This is probably why it is known as the most popular casino gambling game. If you want to increase your chances even more, you can resort to a strategy that is more than half a century old: the so-called card counting.
This is based on the fact that the better players can estimate which card will be dealt next by the croupier, the more they have an advantage in Black Jack.
The card counting strategy is designed to enable them to do this. Those who don’t want to take it upon themselves to remember the cards that are already out of play can fall back on the “high-low system”. This works as follows, according to besteonlinecasinos.co/blackjack/kartenzaehlen/:
Cards are divided into three groups.
Cards with the value 2 to 6 are assigned a +1, cards with the values 7 to 9 are assigned a zero and the remaining cards (10 – A) are assigned a -1.
As soon as the first cards of a newly shuffled deck are dealt, you start counting.
While the result is not very meaningful in the first rounds, a +1 at the end of a round indicates that there are more cards with higher card values in the game and vice versa.
At first, this system may sound like it takes some getting used to, but it is so successful that many casinos have taken countermeasures against card counting. Even though it is not forbidden in Germany, it can lead to being banned from the house in individual casinos if you are identified as a “card counter”.
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Doubling down on roulette – promising success?
Roulette is also one of the gambling classics. This goes so far that the roulette table represents for some a symbol of gambling at all – even in the age of the Internet.
Without a doubt, roulette also depends on the player’s luck. Nevertheless, many experienced players propagate certain strategies with which it is supposed to be possible to specifically influence the chance of winning.
One of the best known is the so-called doubling strategy. This refers to the so-called “French roulette”. In this, the roulette table consists of 37 fields, one green with the color 0 and 16 each red and black. Players can bet on the respective color.
The doubling strategy works as follows:
A player bets on the color red, for example, until he loses.
In the next round, he places double the bet on the same color.
As soon as he loses – possibly already in the first round, he again bets double the amount from the last round on the color red.
The theoretical foundation for the doubling strategy sounds very complicated, but according to experts it is not very convincing. For example, a false basic assumption is that the appearance of one color increases the probability of the appearance of another color in the next round. In fact, however, the probabilities always remain the same, regardless of what happened earlier in the game. That is, it can easily happen that the color red appears ten times in a row. If you keep doubling your bet during this time, this can lead to huge losses.
In contrast to card counting in blackjack, the doubling strategy in roulette is therefore not very promising – but it is allowed in every casino.
Sure Bets in sports betting
Sports betting is popular in Germany. As the Süddeutsche Zeitung reports, about 4.5 billion euros are expected to be turned over in the industry in 2015 and the market is growing rapidly.
Especially the possibility to place sports bets on the Internet has also encouraged many newcomers to put their money on the outcome of soccer matches or tennis matches. Sports betting differs from other games of chance in that a sound knowledge of the sport in question can increase the prospects of winning. After all, the results here do not depend on where a ball lands, but on how an athlete or a team performs, and as we all know, that does not depend on luck alone.
Additionally, there are popular strategies in sports betting as well. The so-called “Sure Bets” are particularly popular. Behind this is the strategy of placing bets with different bookmakers on different outcomes, so for example, in a soccer match between FC Bayern and Borussia Dortmund
Once on the victory of FC Bayern
Once on the victory of Borussia Dortmund
Once on a draw
Due to odds differences between individual bookmakers, it is possible to make a profit on a Sure Bet in any case, no matter what the outcome. In order to locate a Sure Bet bet in the first place, players usually resort to Sure Bet tools. The prerequisite for this is, of course, that they are registered with various betting providers. By the way, this method is not completely risk-free either. Cancellations, for example, can also lead to a total loss with Sure Bets.
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)